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  • There's no stopping GameStop

    Posted Mar 06 2008, 01:39 PM by Robert Walberg Rating:

    Not skyrocketing energy prices, not the rising foreclosure rate, not even the slowing U.S. economy will stop GameStop from posting monster sales and earnings gains when the company reports its fiscal fourth quarter earnings in less than two weeks.

    Bolstered by strong demand for video game hardware systems such as the Wii and Xbox 360, and continued strength in software sales, the world's leading video game retailer is expected to deliver Q4 earnings of $1.12 per share on revenue of $2.9 billion, -- well above last year's results of 82 cents and $2.3 billion.

    Normally, a stock would rally into such news. But these aren't normal times. GameStop is down 32% from its December 2007 high, as investors flee any and all stocks tied to the consumer.  However, unless you're a gamer or are related to one, you might not understand that GameStop actually stands to benefit competitively from a downturn.  Unlike Target, Best Buy or Wal-Mart, GameStop sells used games and game consoles.  In fact, sales of pre-owned merchandise now represent about 25% of total sales.   Read More...

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  • Softer side of Sears

    Posted Jan 14 2008, 11:16 AM by Robert Walberg Rating:

    The "softer side of Sears" no longer refers to its apparel merchandise, but to its sales and earnings history.

    Citing difficult economic conditions and growing competition, the company warned that fourth-quarter sales and earnings would fall well shy of Wall Street estimates.  Management now expects quarterly earnings of between $2.59 to $3.48 per share, a whopping 20% to 40% below the Street's consensus estimate.  The stock responded by falling to its lowest level in three years.

    It's a bit surprising to me that so many investors were surprised by the company's dismal quarter -- especially given that Sears issued an even bigger warning last quarter. The company has also had a history of underperforming expectations over the past several years. Let's face it, the Lampert experiment has been a total bust. You can prop up numbers only so long by cutting costs and repurchasing shares -- at some point you have to improve the core business and  Lampert, chairman and architect of the merger with Kmart, never had the retailing experience necessary to get the job done. 

    The idea of merging two struggling retailers in hopes of creating a thriving one was doomed from the start -- especially since management was more concerned with pleasing Wall Street analysts than store customers. The folks on Wall Street might not be the brightest bunch in the world, but even they are beginning to realize that Lampert's financial razzle dazzle hasn't done anything to make Sears or Kmart more relevant to shoppers.   Read More...

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