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  • Why the Visa IPO is so hot

    Posted Mar 19 2008, 09:32 AM by Anthony Mirhaydari
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    The real reason Wall Street is downright giddy over the historic $18 billion Visa IPO this morning isn’t because the banks that own it are in for a big payday or that it represents a safe haven in a time of market turmoil. Instead, investors want to profit from the slow death of physical money. Cash is no longer king; Long live the charge card!

    Already, a majority of retail transactions are done with a card instead of cash. This is up from less than 30% a decade ago. People love the convenience: Visa estimates that contactless card transactions are twice as fast as cash. For all their complaining about interchange fees, retailers love the fact people tend to spend 20% more when using plastic. Americans alone now possess some 1.5 billion credit cards.

    The demise of paper notes and coins will only continue. The last refuge of cash has been small transactions like paying a bus fare. Now, even this is threatened. Interchange rates continue to fall. Card terminals are becoming less expensive and more ubiquitous. It’s only a matter of time before just about any purchase can be settled electronically.   Read More...

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  • Target's credit card crunch

    Posted Mar 14 2008, 07:33 AM by Anthony Mirhaydari
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    Target, everyone’s favorite cheap-chic retailer, has a big ticking time bomb on its balance sheet. After rapidly expanding its in-store credit card program over the past year, taking on questionable risks, the company is now desperately trying to offload the decaying $8.6 billion portfolio. According to news out today, J.P. Morgan has stepped up and is interested in acquiring roughly 50% of the Target Red card and Target Visa accounts.

    No doubt this was spurred by activist investor William Ackman, who back in December snatched up a 10% share in the company through his Pershing Square hedge fund. Ackman pushed management hard to sell the cards business, but they replied that “market conditions” were delaying the decision. Well, unless I missed something, the “market conditions” have been getting a heck of a lot worse since then. So why sell now? With the big banks hoarding cash, margins being called, and blood on the Street, the terms couldn’t have gotten any sweeter.  

    Unfortunately, details aren’t forthcoming as the company’s press release describing the deal was rather vague. Portales Partners analyst William Ryan noted “the company created more confusion than it provided detailed information.” Everyone is still trying to figure out what’s going on and determine whether this is good news or not.   Read More...

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