Posted
Nov 20 2008, 06:41 AM
by
Douglas McIntyre
A quick look at bank stocks would indicate that Wall St. is not terribly impressed with the Paulson $700 billion bailout plan. Citigroup, the whipping boy of the group, may be at a multi-year low. But, so is Goldman Sachs, the most sublime of all US financial institutions. Even Jamie Dimon's JP Morgan, arguably the best run bank, has been pulled into the vortex of selling
The trouble is that investors think that the amount of money being put into the financial system is far too little. If it was adequate, this argument goes, bank stocks would be worth more than Confederate dollars.
Citi is supposed to lose as much as $2.72 a share in 2009, at least according to the more pessimistic numbers. Banks have underperformed analysts' guesses most of this year. Why should next year be any different? The Wall St. consensus is that Goldman will make $10.73 EPS, which is actually up from where 2008 is being pegged. So, why has its stock dropped from $234 to $55 in less than a year?
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