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Let homebuyer tax credit die

Posted Sep 25 2009, 10:04 AM by Minyanville
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This article is written by Minyanville's Ryan Goldberg

Home sales fell last month, and so be it. Every home that doesn’t get sold is another bailout I don’t have to finance. (See "Home sales drying up.")

Congress included an $8,000 tax credit for first-time homebuyers as part of the stimulus package passed last winter. As many as 40% of all homebuyers this year will qualify for it, and it’s expected to cost the government $15 billion -- more than twice the original forecast -- thanks to its popularity.

Bing: More about the homebuyer tax credit

The tax credit is scheduled to expire on Nov. 30. Not surprisingly, the real estate industry, including the 1.1 million-member National Association of Realtors, wants Congress to extend the credit at least through next summer, and to expand it to $15,000 and allow all buyers to qualify. The cost: $50 billion to $100 billion.

This is a redistributed tax from renters to buyers. As a proud renter, I’ve had enough. I didn’t flip houses as investments, nor did I buy one I couldn’t afford. So why must I pay for others to speculate and swim in risk?

For too long the American religion of home-ownership has cast its spell on our society and packed the pews of Congress. “Owning a home lies at the heart of the American dream,” President Bush declared in 2002. But look where that dream has led us: subprime housing and unsustainable suburbanization and near-depression. (See "Three post-bubble homebuyer strategies.")

Considering its role in fostering the economic collapse, providing tax credits to prop up the housing system is sort of like offering a recovering addict his drug of choice. What’s more, with Fannie Mae (FNM), Freddie Mac (FRE), Ginnie Mae, and the FHA involved in 85% of all mortgages, renters -- as well as everyone else -- are paying to prop up real estate prices. To top it off, the Fed has its $1.45 trillion mortgage purchase plan.

The Tax Policy Center, a joint venture of the Brookings Institution and the Urban Institute, called the original tax credit one of the worst provisions of the stimulus package, saying the money was a give-away for people who would buy a house anyway. It believes extending the credit to all buyers is even worse. I'm tired of subsidizing homeownership. The idea that it has some intrinsic value is a myth. It's viewed as essential to the American dream only because the government has institutionalized the tax benefits of buying a house. It shouldn’t be, as politicians make it sound, the true path to righteousness.

How about this idea for a capitalist society: Allow buying a house to stand on its own merits -- especially since those merits are trumpeted by politicians as intrinsic -- instead of stacking the deck in its favor.

Home ownership wasn't always considered a fundamental right. Before the Great Depression, a minority of Americans owned a home. Government policies changed that: In the 1930s and ‘40s came longer-term mortgages and Fannie Mae to purchase the mortgages and grease the system. The tax deduction on mortgage-interest payments elevated house purchases above renting. Between 1940 and 1960, the home ownership rate rose from 44 percent to 62 percent.

For the last decade, new financial innovations like adjustable-rate mortgages and securitized subprime loans were new ammunition for home ownership. By 2004, a record 69.2% of all American families owned their home. It was an illusion though. These government policies favoring home ownership set the climate in which the housing boom grew like a tsunami and then destroyed everything around it.

In a recent Atlantic Monthly article, Richard Florida, an urban studies theorist and author of the best-selling The Rise of the Creative Class, wrote that a big way to fix the economy “begins with the removal of home ownership from its long-privileged place at the center of the U.S. economy." He said "Substantial incentives for home ownership (from tax breaks to artificially low mortgage interest rates) distort demand, encouraging people to buy bigger houses than they otherwise would."

“If anything,” he continued, “our government policies should encourage renting, not buying.”

Home ownership is itself not a public good, no more honorable than renting. In his article, Florida mentioned a recent study by Grace Wong, an economist at the Wharton School of Business, which shows that, controlling for income and demographics, homeowners are no happier than renters, nor do they report lower levels of stress or higher levels of self-esteem.

We live in a world that requires mobility, yet home ownership is like an Ace bandage on it. People who own their homes are often reluctant to leave distressed areas or move for new jobs. Economists have showed that places with higher home ownership in both the United States and Europe also suffer from higher unemployment. (Think of Detroit.) Home ownership, according to economist Andrew Oswald, is a greater predictor of unemployment than rates of unionization or the size of welfare benefits.

As a renter, I still hear from people who say buying a home is a great investment. But, in light of what has happened the last two years, I cringe at that idea. And I'm sure others agree: From 2005 through 2007 alone, at the peak of the housing bubble, more than 22 million Americans bought either new or existing houses on the same advice. As we've seen with millions of foreclosures, those houses sunk their American dream.

No positions in stocks mentioned.

Image credit: respres, Creative Commons Attribution 2.0 license 

Related reading:

Just how hot is the housing market?

Will congress be to blame for runaway inflation?

Allocating stimulus to land banks

 

Comments

 

most of the housing mess is clearly at the hands of our elected goofs that aloowed no money down loans. it is real easy to default on a mortgage if a person doesn't have any money in the game.

Greg as i agree with on the downpayment  and no skin in the game theory, but if a person you got one of these loans lived in the house for 3-4 years and made the payments; do they then not have skin in the game. I can see your point if it was less than a year or so, but some of these home owners have lived in there home for 4+ years. I think they have skin in the game at this point. As i was one you got my house with no money down on and arm. I was lucky and refi before it all went south.

The flaw in owning a home today is that most people try to upgrade into a bigger better home within 5 years of purchase. Most of these people lose any built up equity in the transfer. The key for homeownership to work is to buy a home and stay there and pay it off as quickly as possible. Debt is the real enemy not ownership of a home. These so-called experts want us to continue to buy into the illusion that we can just keep paying until we die and let our kids and grandkids pay for it. Obama and the rest of the current traitors on Capitol Hill have been the greatest proponents of this stupidity yet.

I don't feel any empathy towards renters because here in Wisconsin, one-third of school funding is through property taxes, and as a homeowner in Madison with no children, why should I keep footing that bill?  School referendums come up constantly for increased spending limits and new buildings that aren't needed, and who gets stuck with that?  Tax paying individuals.  Notice I said tax paying.  If you get a refund, you're not paying anything.  Property taxes on the other hand only homeowners pay, not renters.  Increase and extend the credit!

Another self serving, self interested party in America. Nobody cares about each other or our country anymore. We are being left in the dust by China and India and all we here is what about me? Start thinking about our country as a whole and not about each person individually. W is gone and so is his mantra. The only way out is forward and the government has to take control from Wall Street and corporations that run our lives. Nobody wants socialism and yet here we are going down the tubes thining we actually have a future waiting on the rich to pick us up. The only way for people to take control of their country again is through government action - at least for awhile. We need new direction and we're getting it. The economy is responding and things will get better. But you've got to have faith in the system and each other. Think of someone outside of yourself once and awhile.

In the main, I agree with the "home ownership neutrality" philosophy both of Mr. Goldberg and of the effect of the various issues he cites.  I'm a residential realtor, yet in the best interests of my buyer clients, and against my own business best interests, I have counseled buyers for years that on a current cash flow basis the market has favored renters over buyers; it has been a "renter's market" rather than an "owner's market" in terms of the fully loaded costs of owning vs. renting.  Additionally, I have urged them to be aware that the "investment" benefit of home ownership needs to be seen for what it is: speculating in real estate.  There's nothing wrong with speculation per se, but people need to call it what it is: speculation, so that the risks will be acknowledged and kept in view. However, now that home prices have corrected substantially, and in view of the great risks of future inflation, even rampant inflation, occasioned by global governments fiscal and monetary policies, I'm changing my tune. The average citizen has no defense or hedge against inflation unless he/she owns a home.  Home prices are often a principal manifestation of inflation. The fully loaded cost of home ownership is now much closer to that of renting than it has been in many years, and sufficiently close on a current cash flow basis to cause me to advocate that renters strongly consider purchasing, if they can do so prudently, in order to hedge against the coming inflation, to protect their purchasing power via ownership of a large "hard asset", because history reveals that wages in this modern era have tended to lag inflation and housing prices most of the time.  There remain some cogent reasons to value renting, I do agree.  But the inflation bogey is a big one, and speculating in home ownership as a hedge against currency devaluation has moved to center stage in my view.

The problems from the last two years didn't stem from home purchases per se, but from terrible mortgage underwriting standards by the financial industry. They didn't qualify homebuyers, any more than they did credit card holders, car buyers or any one else seeking credit. Blame Wall Street and the bankers, not realtors and homebuyers.

Over the long haul, in an efficient market, renting HAS TO cost more than owning a home. Landlords pass all costs, including depreciation, financing interest, real estate taxes, repairs and improvements and any included utilities into the rent cost AND THEN MARK IT UP. If they didn't, why would they go through the aggrevation of being landlords. With the exception of frequent transfers or other short-term residene situations, anyone who can afford to buy but continues to rent is a chump.

Not everyone can afford to buy. Among those who can, many can't afford to buy as much house as they might like. And no one should finance a large, long-term purchase at variable rates without understanding the risks. Bankers used to explain these things to people: now they just collect the upfront fees and sell the mortgage to some other isk addict. None of that means that home ownership is a bad idea; it means that how, when and how much are critical considerations. Details matter.

This story is very one sided and totally ignores the fact that our economy is propped up by the construction of new homes and consumption of homeowners.  Beyond this, the notion that home ownership has some negative impact on a regional economy is preposterous.  Yes Detroit has a high rate of home ownership and has high unemployment right now but North Dakota has a high rate of home ownership and has the lowest unemployment in the nation.  

This credit is an enormous redistribution of wealth to the middle class and basically hurts no one other than those whose jobs force them to live in big cities.

John, this is not good for the vast majority of taxpayers that subsidized someone else's purchase. Let the market work without government intrusion. Government caused this problem to begin with by encouraging banks to give out no money down low rate ARM  loans. The buyers are not victims they were just stupid.

By owning my home, or making payments to the bank to someday own my home, I feel I have freed myself from one industry in America. No longer do i have to live by the rules of a landlord, and no longer do I send much of my income to some else, for something that will never return any of it to me. By renting, you are adding to the idea that the rich should get richer. All you are doing is padding the pockets of someone else. You may feel that you are subsidizing something you aren't involved in, but those people you rent from are also part of the same industry that had skin in the downfall of the market. It wasn't all individuals and families. There were landlords and real-estate investment people that failed to make good on their loans. As a homeowner, I also make property tax payments twice a year, so don't make it sound like homeowners aren't paying their fair share. Some of us like where we are, intend on staying for more than 5 years, and not jumping around looking for the bigger better deal of a job, home, or apartment.

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