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Is AMD really all that and a bag of chips?

Posted Aug 25 2009, 02:38 PM by Tobin Smith
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Tech stocks keep on rolling in this bull recovery.  In fact, even tech stocks that languished in the cellar for many years are getting attention these days.  On Monday, Aug. 24, shares of chipmaker Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) surged more than 8% after Citigroup analyst Glen Yeung upgraded the company to a "buy" from a "hold."  The influential Yeung said his upgrade was based on signs of a stronger relationship between AMD and its main customer, Hewlett-Packard (HPQ).

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But does the AMD and HP bond really make AMD a good stock to own right now, and are there other factors likely to propel AMD shares going forward?

Quite likely, yes.

According to the latest research on corporate and consumer PC purchasing by the ChangeWave Alliance Research Network, the entire corporate IT spending environment is showing signs of improvement, and that includes HP.

On the corporate front, the latest ChangeWave survey shows a dramatically improved outlook for U.S. tech spending in the third quarter.  The findings also point to the first uptick in business PC spending in more than 18 months.  Hewlett-Packard's planned corporate PC sales are also on the upswing, with planned laptop purchases up slightly, while planned desktop purchases remained steady since the previous February survey.

When it comes to consumers, the latest survey results also show consumer PC buying remaining stable, with laptop purchasing plans up from their January-February lows. The survey also revealed an increase in the number of consumers who say they plan on buying more than one computer.  As for HP's consumer appeal, laptop sales going forward appear steady, while there's been a marked improvement in those who plan to buy an HP desktop.

Certainly these bullish findings for both the corporate and consumer PC sectors, and particularly the improvements seen for HP, argue in favor of an improved outlook for AMD's bottom line.  Given that AMD has recently won key contracts from Hewlett-Packard, I think we may likely see AMD be on many more buy lists in the future.  I also think that the mere fact that HP just recently canceled some of its programs with AMD rival Intel (INTC) is a compelling development for the future of AMD.  

In his research note, Yeung said "we see the risk/reward on AMD as favorable."  I agree with this assessment, and for this, as well as the other aforementioned reasons, I also like AMD shares here.  

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NOTE:  At the time of this writing, Tobin Smith did not own shares of AMD.

Comments

 

I've used AMD CPUs for along time now!  They cost less then Intel and function just as well as (if not better) then a comparable Intel CPU.

They haven't performed nearly as well as quite awhile now, though.  You get what you pay for.

AMD chips did quite well against Intel in early 2000, but has lagged quite a bit in the past few years.  Still, if all you need is a cheap and basic chip for word processing or light internet surfing, then an AMD chip will probably work out OK for you--though like Jim said, you get what you pay for.

The editor of a leading tech report called AMD " a bad speculative bet". He is usually right.

Evidently, the other posters so far have limited computer engineering background. AMD chips are on par with Intel chips. If I have any gripe with AMD is that they are (anectdotally based) more prone to overheating.

As for the clown who said that AMD chips are only good for word and other other office processes, must have the computer competency of a 4 year old who fell from the jungle gym. I've been using them for CAD, programming, mathematical packages, and video editing, among other things. Basically, the only differences between AMD and Intel chips are the price, heating issue and the nice little logo.

"AMD chips are on par with Intel chips" until you move up the ladder from the low and mid level to the newer high quality chips; Intels I7 series exceeds AMD's chips in performance, although the price of the AMD's chips still makes them a great alternitive for those who are willing to skimp on a little bit of the power for price.

Anyone who thinks AMD is still equal to INTEL and not playing catch up has not used the INTEL 5500 series quad core CPU's. And Stephen I operate over 200 physical servers with both AMD and INTEL, about 200 virtual host on VMWare ESX server and manage about 500TB of storage.

I think I have to agree with Stephen, I've used both AMD and Intel chips for professional image and video editing, database development, and gaming. I haven't had any problems with the AMD chips , nor have I noticed any discernible difference between AMD and Intel chips.

Obviously everyone has their favorite/preference. I'm sure there are real performance differences that can be measured, but for most users the variance is negligible and therefore irrelevant in their context of use.

"Anyone who thinks AMD is still equal to INTEL and not playing catch up..."

Well...anyone who thinks AMD is not a respectable alternative to Intel is simply in denial.

You have to realize that companies like Intel and AMD don't release their latest chips immediately to market. Some are only available on special order or to those in academic research labs and think tanks. The software on the commerical market really doesn't make proper use of these chips. And other issues also play a role (requisite hardware in support of the processor and so on). So of course if you work in industry it might look like one chips maker is ahead of the other.

For instance, when Intel first released the Itanium en.wikipedia.org/.../Itanium it tanked. This changed the model for how processors are distributed to market.  

Basically my point is that it's foolish to say Intel is better because one of their processor series is superior to AMD (and vice-versa). At a fundemantal level they are quite competitive with one another. A lot people here who proclaim Intel to be superior are being suckered by brand name and a price tag. And worse yet are basing this on a narrow series of chips available in the commercial market.

intel's i7's greatness is based upon AMD's engineering goodness

the vast majority of PC purchases dont need the edge of performance found with i7's

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