Things don't look so good for the employed either
Posted
Jun 12 2009, 04:05 PM
by
Catherine Holahan
Rating:
Despite all the "green
shoots", consumers still have plenty of cause to feel glum about the
economy. A record 14.5 million people
are still unemployed and the slack labor market has made work far less
lucrative and far more uncertain for those who have jobs.
No wonder then that consumer
sentiment didn't meet economists' optimistic expectations. U.S. consumer confidence
rose just 0.3 percentage points to 69 in June from the prior month, according to
figures released today by Reuters and the University of Michigan. Many
economists had anticipated an increase of 2 percentage points or more.
Even if the recession technically ends in the third quarter
of this year, things won't feel much better to many consumers. The
unemployment rate is at 9.4%. The rate grows to 16.4% after counting all
the workers that have ceased looking for jobs or taken part-time positions
after failing to find full-time employment.
Even worse, many economists predict that it will hit nearly
10% before the year is through. Though the rate of layoffs has slowed, more
than 600,000 people are still receiving pink slips each week.
With so many on the sidelines seeking work, those with jobs
have seen their negotiating power all but disappear. Wages have declined about 2.7% since
June 2008, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics most recent report
released June 10. On average, workers made about $20.49 per hour in March, the
last month for which data is available, compared to about $21.06 in June 2008. Total employee
compensation has increased slightly for the year, but that's largely due to rising
health insurance costs.
American consumers are still reeling from an amazing
destruction of wealth. The nation's households lost
$1.3 trillion of their net worth in the first quarter of 2009 alone. That's
on top of successive losses sustained since the first half of 2007.
Even if the light at
the end of the tunnel is visible, the economic situation still looks bleak for
many Americans - with or without jobs.
Related Reading:
A survival guide for the unemployed
Why Gen. Y may never retire
How much jobless pay would you get?
The misery index