Will taxpayers get repaid in GM bankruptcy?
Posted
May 29 2009, 12:23 PM
by
Kim Peterson
Rating:

Here's a shocker: The U.S. government probably won't get a full return on the billions of dollars it's pumping into General Motors (GM). The company is expected to file for bankruptcy next week.
Financial commentary site Breakingviews crunches the numbers and says that in order for the government to get back what it's put into GM, the restructured company would have to produce earnings to support an enterprise value of at least $95 billion, according to The New York Times. That's the total of a $69 billion market cap and $26 billion of debt and preferred stock.
To get there, GM would need around $19 billion in annual operating cash flow. It would need to hit the same cash flow benchmark that Toyota had in its best year ever, the Times writes. And GM would have to boost annual sales by 50% to $150 billion.
Keep in mind that this restructured GM will have probably lost the Saturn, Pontiac, Saab and Hummer lines. And its European business. And probably its Latin American business as well, the Times writes.
The government bill is up to $50 billion or more, a NYU business professor tells Bloomberg. And the government will own 72.5% of the new company.
So will the government be first in line for repayment? And how many cents on the dollar will it get back?
Image credit: James Marvin Phelps, Creative Commons Attribution 2.0 license
Related reading:
Another roadblock to GM's bankruptcy is lifted
GM's demise has a silver lining: AutoZone
Crunchtime for General Motors
The UAW losing power as auto industry implodes
Do auto workers really earn $73 an hour?