Keeping up with Jubak: A drop in drilling - Top Stocks Blog - MSN Money
 
Search Top Stocks:

Keeping up with Jubak: A drop in drilling

Posted Apr 17 2009, 10:43 AM by MSN Editors
Rating:
Filed under: , , ,

MSN Money investing columnist Jim Jubak frequently updates recent columns and offers insights on economic news. These updates appeared in his most recent column, "Rally's future hinges on China," published April 17. To see more of Jim's picks and their performance, click here.

"Be ready for the commodity comeback": The plunge in oil prices is hitting global petroleum industry spending on exploration and development hard. And nowhere is it hitting harder than in the aging North Sea fields of the United Kingdom.

North Sea drilling fell 78% in the first quarter of 2009 compared with the same quarter in 2008. Exploration efforts added up to a mere 18 wells drilling in the quarter. Total drilling for exploration and development will drop 66% for all of 2009, projects oil industry group UK Oil and Gas.

What's the likely effect of the collapse in drilling?  By 2020, at current rates of investment, the North Sea fields would be able to meet just 12% of demand from the United Kingdom. Previous estimates saw the fields meeting 46% of demand by that time.

Global spending on drilling is expected to drop by just 12% in 2009. The much greater drop in North Sea activity is due to the small size of recent finds in the area and the rising cost of maintaining production in the aging fields, making the region an unattractive investment for oil companies with oil at $50 a barrel.

Comments

 

 oil is cheap , then its cheaper to look for it,

wrong, when oil, coal and natural gas prices are high companys make more money,  when these companys  earn more they are able to play there cards without taking such a big loss if there exploration turns out to be a dud,  the price for them to find, mine and refine oil dosnt change that much in a years time,   what does change is the oil price itself,  when the price of oil is high they can afford to spend big money buying drilling and exploring,  basically investing further into there product.. when it falls again and it will you can expect them to put a hold on less profitable sites, cutting back employe hours wages and possibly layoffs if the  price is down for an extended period of time.. only to see the price rise again and its off to the races.

strip miner is right. The down turn in oil prices is actually bad for consumers. Heres why. When prices get to low oil companies pull back their investments in new sites.  This reduces their immediate future costs however increase their longer future cost of development. Yet even though their future development cost will be high it is still more profitable for them because they can then demand a premium for their product. So as a consumer do not be surprised at seeing oil next time hit $150 and above for a longer time. Drilling isn't long range solution, but it is apparent necessity because no government is doing the serious investment in alternatives it would take to seriously reduce dependence on oil.

I miss the "drill baby drill" idea.

investor

If you can't beat them join them. I have invested in oil and commodities with only $9,000.00 and have earned $4,000.00 in the last two and a half months.

I feel very blessed.

i thought by spending more time with my wife i would strengthen our bond but shortly realized i liked being at work better come on oboma stop messing with the leases and just let us do our thing

Send a Comment

Comments must be directly related to the blog entry. Comments with offensive language will be deleted. Your e-mail address won't be displayed.

(please, no HTML tags. Web addresses will be hyperlinked):