Keeping up with Jubak: A drop in drilling
Posted
Apr 17 2009, 10:43 AM
by
MSN Editors
Rating:
MSN Money investing columnist Jim Jubak frequently updates recent columns and offers insights on economic news. These updates appeared in his most recent column, "Rally's future hinges on China," published April 17. To see more of Jim's picks and their performance, click here.
"Be ready for the commodity comeback": The plunge in oil prices is hitting global petroleum industry spending on exploration and development hard. And nowhere is it hitting harder than in the aging North Sea fields of the United Kingdom.
North Sea drilling fell 78% in the first quarter of 2009 compared with the same quarter in 2008. Exploration efforts added up to a mere 18 wells drilling in the quarter. Total drilling for exploration and development will drop 66% for all of 2009, projects oil industry group UK Oil and Gas.
What's the likely effect of the collapse in drilling? By 2020, at current rates of investment, the North Sea fields would be able to meet just 12% of demand from the United Kingdom. Previous estimates saw the fields meeting 46% of demand by that time.
Global spending on drilling is expected to drop by just 12% in 2009. The much greater drop in North Sea activity is due to the small size of recent finds in the area and the rising cost of maintaining production in the aging fields, making the region an unattractive investment for oil companies with oil at $50 a barrel.