Stocks are cheap, but cheap enough?
Posted
Oct 27 2008, 01:23 PM
by
Kim Peterson
Rating:
Warren Buffett says investors should be putting money into U.S. stocks. But are those stocks cheap enough yet? The Wall Street Journal is on the case.
Stocks look great if you look at what they're trading at relative to their earnings over the last year. The companies in the S&P 500 index are trading at 13 times earnings, the Journal says, well below the 21-times-earnings average over the last decade.
And the index is about 1.74 times the book value of its component stocks, down from the 3.26 average seen over the last 15 years.
So you might say stocks are cheap. But if things continue to go to hell in a handbasket and we slump into a deep recession, these prices won't look like such a deal.
In other words, we probably haven't hit bottom, experts say.
"If you don't have the heart to deal with a drop from here, keep your cash reserves," an investment manager told the Journal.
Another portfolio manager told the Journal he doesn't want to buy yet. People who jumped on stocks a month ago have seen losses of 20% to 30%, he said. He's waiting for more signs that the market has stabilized.
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