If you don't buy in at these levels, you will be kicking yourself 5 years from now. You can't predict the exact bottom, so start scaling in here at 5 year lows.

Great time to buy some puts. Keep in mind that an average recession lasts 30 months and we are about 5%-25% into this recession at best. Buy some puts and be careful. What is Put Option?

Put option is a contract that gives the buyer of the options the right to sell the underlying security at a particular price (i.e. strike price) on or before a certain date (i.e. expiration date).

The seller (or writer) is, in turn, obligated to buy the security should the buyer chooses to exercise the option.

Put option’s price increases when the underlying stock’s price decreases, and decreases as the underlying stock’s price increases (negative relationship).

As such, we will buy a Put Option if we think that a stock will move downwards.

Example:

Using the above Company ABC example, if you anticipate the stock to drop from $23 per share, you can buy a Put option for $90 (or $0.9 per share) that gives you the right to sell 100 shares of ABC at $22.5 per share anytime in the next 90 days.

If the stock falls to $20 per share before option’s expiration:

1) You can, in theory, buy 100 shares in the open market for $20 per share and then exercise your put option which gives you the right to sell the stock at $22.5 per share. Your profit will be $1.6 per share (22.5 – 20 = 2.5 – 0.9 for option premium = $1.6 per share).

2) In practice, you would just sell your put option, which would now have a value of at least $2.5 per share (intrinsic value only) and profit by $1.6 per share (2.5 – 0.9 for option premium = $1.6 per share).

Alexander Shlepakov

As far as I understand MS people are taking advantage. They wait until Yahoo stock is down and buy the stock, then start talking about buying the company. As a result Yahoo stock goes up and they sell it.  Such a "round trip" makes 15-25%.