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Worst crisis since Great Depression?

Posted Sep 18 2008, 01:11 PM by Kim Peterson
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Photo credit: Creative Commons"This has been the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression. There is no question about it," said New York University economist Mark Gertler in the WSJ. Sound a little harsh? Try reading the rest of the Journal article, and tell me you don't want to withdraw all your money and raise cows in Switzerland.

The U.S. financial system is like a patient in intensive care, the Journal states. "The body is trying to fight off a disease that is spreading, and as it does so, the body convulses, settles for a time and then convulses again."

The disease? The unwinding of the massive debt that banks and regular Americans have taken on in recent years. Household borrowing grew at an 11% average annual rate between 2002 and 2006, the Journal says, outpacing overall economic growth. Banks were just as bad. And now, well, the piper is being paid.

The article has a good explainer on credit-default swaps, a game that helped bring AIG down. Basically, the swaps are a way for firms to place bets on whether a borrower is going to default. Sounds like a sick little game, wagering on whether a company can honor its obligations. But it's a way firms get some insurance on their risk exposure. AIG sold lots of these swaps, and buyers thought the insurance giant would help protect them against defaults.

Yet some aspects of the economy seem surprisingly resilient to the financial system's woes. Unemployment isn't as bad as it was in the early 1990s, and companies are still pouring money into marketing and research, the Journal says. Exports are still strong and the government has moved swiftly to address disasters in the making.

There's much more to digest in the Journal piece. Click here to see the rest of it.

(Photo credit: Creative Commons license.)

Comments

 

Is their a real problem with the dow in the last 5years its up 2.113 or 22% from 9,275 to it's current 11,388.  The bailout of the stock market with the biggest goverment expenditure ever appears to be totally ridiculous.  Someone has to lose money and it should be the money lenders with their wild speculation.  2% to 3% goverment loans made money too cheap.  Our elected goverment officials should not  buy potentially worthless paper from the money gamblers who created their own financial problems with their unrealistic lending policys.

Mr K. hit the nail on the head. How do you explain normal American families having a mortgage of 250k,  jacked-up 1-ton 4x4s, his and hers, a Harley and 2 quads; all on an annual income of less that 50k? Borrow, borrow, borrow, from that cash cow known as home equity, that's how! I'm not a Bush-basher, but remember a few years back, before all this credit mess, how he was carrying on about how strong the economy was? Sure it seemed great! Everybody had nice houses, brand new TRUCKS, you name it, if we wanted it we probably had it.  But it was all fake. People were using their houses as ATMs and spending that money on toys. Only problem with this ATM was that the money didn't come from checking accounts, it came from a loan account which belonged to some mega finance company. All good things must come to and end though. It was only a matter of time before this all came crashing down. Well, folks we are crashing. Now, Instead of bragging about how strong our nation's economy is, Bush is telling us that 700 Billion of our hard-earned dollar bills are going to fix our POOR economy. It is all due to gread, and dishonesty. I just hope we can clean up this mess, so our kids don't have to fix it.

Dishonesty is the problem and that includes banks. They don't charge you for putting money in, but bank of america charge you for taking money out and they pay very little  interest for savings. They are like mobsters. The banks loaned house morgages to people to who had long records of not paying their bills. These are the businesses responsible and should be punished, not rewarded. Its been very hard to be honest all my life while living among crooks. The 33 to 43 year olds are the most dishonest bunch I've ever seen. Frist the dot coms, now the interest only adjustable loan. Product of the both parents work and no one raises the kids.

We did it to ourselves. The dollar is only as good as the most indigent American

citizen. We wanted to create a sub-class without money, thanks to Mr. Bush we have indocumented aliens looking down on hard working Americans. Overseas won't trust our paper. The racist and exclusionary policies of the commercial class has caught up.I guess that the dollar will devalue and we'll become a banana republic.I don't care, I finished college and probably will never find a job to pay my school loan back. We can't even do business for ourselves. We learned to have so much racism that we have learned to hate ourselves.  Used to be that people could trust the dollar. We have turned the dollar and what represents it, the American worker into an icon that is despised in the world. Foreigners laugh at me an American intellectual because we let the commercial class practices it's exclusion in order to try to make me beg in the name of white supremacy. Gd doesn't like ugly. Our egos have made it so that we hate to see Americans in business. A nation of Ralph Kramdens like on the Honeymooners. Keep up the good work!

Who would trust us?

Living like the Waltons sounds good to me.  Crank up the saw Austin.  Nite everyone.

I'm a 60 year old disabled widow. I've paid my mortgage for 19 years, do NOT have credit card debt, pay my taxes, and now, I watch what I'm supposed to live on the rest of my life disappear. I was planning on selling my home to get me through my final years. now there is no money for a buyer. I don't have any children to "fall back on"...so what's a girl to do??? I live a GREAT DEPRESSION!

My Dad used to tell me to always keep  " your baloney detector switched on" and if it starts to beep turn it way up. I saw this coming 10 years ago...how can you inflate prices (and profits) without value added. the difference is only paper, not "real value" and paper value/paper profits can vanish like a magicians trick flash paper. while lumber got cheaper (flakeboard not plywood) pipes got cheaper(plastic not copper) ,the manufacturers got more efficient in producing cheaper substitute materials, the bulldozers got bigger and cheaper (old usa icons made overseas)...go ahead check out caterpiller and some other brands like komatsu and on and on) the site work and the real work got more efficient, they dont use hammers anymore just compressed air nailers and the plumbers don't have to fit pipe and solder or thread anymore, just cut and glue, and the trades are all done by amatures....most of which is on per diem or contracted by the unit (all outside of the weekly tax paying hourly time clock worker) and also a great deal of those who are illegitimate workers not paying into the system . look at the picture here and follow the money. the insult here is that these houses are built faster and cheaper and crummier than real houses built years ago. i don't think any of these recently built homes are going to be around for the long haul, they just made them bigger not better all they had to do was dress them up and put lipstick on them, now compound the problem with developers and sales people inflating the prices up and up with catchphrases like "you better buy now before the price goes up"

"the one down the street sold for" "it will always appreciate"and the most prophetic of them all.."real estate is your best investment,you can always sell it for more,it will be a major assett for your retirement,go ahead suuuuuure you can afford it, the tax incentives and write offs are worth it...and so on and so forth there is probably a dictionary of pitches for people who sell real estate but as i have called it for years..unreal estate...so while they sold you a house that was really worth 200k (with a modest profit included.. remember value added )for twice (400k) the price and the lending institutions made you pay almost the same amount (15 years interest+15 years principle..with the priciple on the backside of course) usuriosly over  30 years .you put a lifetime and 800k into the old barn which after the builders warranty expires ( they're not stupid, just greedy) has you leaning on your credit cards to keep the place fixed up at the local  well placed big box home center.

did you get a house you could afford?that you could raise your kids in?could you save for college for your kids or was that mixed into the  "appreciation" "investment"  part of the pitch too? and did you have to take a second job or did your spouse go to work to...help out?  buy buy buy spend spend spend,  let's see who made money here and who's holding the bag. while the bankers and real estate churners grossly inflated the real price of unreal estate they were oddly silent about the fact that population figures (home buying  baby boomers)  weren 't going to support what they called "the bubble" which they in fact were inflating......and curiosly, when the sales and churning started to plateau a little they were also silent about that ,so then they went into what i will call "creative churning" thats the baloney you hear about" sub prime" "creative financing""no income verified""packaged out" and of course"default insured" money. so then the bankers sold the paper to the depositors(we)and the sales perps sold the goods(us)and the brokers (deregulated of course) lied thier butts off to get deals together that were "unreal" everybody made money(yours)and tons and tons of it.but wait there is more incredulity...now they find out that it was "unreal" and of course it wasn't their fault....the earned the mercedes and the beemer and the park avenue address and the big multi-million dollar parachute...they fleeced you fair and square and now my friend...they want you...scared and broke...to turn a blind eye to their reckless greed and plod on through this bailout.....the hard working shoulder to the wheel citizen.  forget them . they couln't count the money they made fast enough while they obfuscated and deceived you. get a little mad and make sure you hold their hands to the fire that they started and    hold    them    accountable        after all they have accountants on staff don't they ?  and they should know something about checks and balances.............the end.

If you think things are bad now, wait till next year. With our government acting on behalve of big business and corporate America is it any wonder their decision on how to fix the economy is to LOOT THE US TREASURY to the tune of over 4 trillion dollars so far. Which instead of being used for unfreezeing the credit markets as intended, bankers had adopted a TAKE THE MONEY AND RUN attitude. Leaving the taxpayer holding the bag just as how subprime mortgages were bundled with good mortgages and sold as falsely rated AAA securties with full US Gov guaranties removing the risk from their books and sticking the taxpayers yet again.

I have absolutely no faith in our government whatsoever to act on behalve of the middle class or working poor. Chaney has already announced he is moving his Haliburton corp. to the Middle East and Bush just purchased a 100,000 acre ranch in South America so he can go retire with the rest of the war criminals outside US treaties and extradition. When government employees have to ask the Attorney Generals office for immunity in order to carry out a presidential order we should are start saying --WTF--

I thought we elected presidents to boss our affairs and nation,Dud where you been for nearly 8 years George? someone told me it was called the white house.

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