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What your financial adviser will never tell you

Posted Sep 16 2008, 08:01 AM by Andrew Horowitz
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Brokers' phones are ringing with the questions from concerned clients looking for direction. Now, more than ever, everyone wants to know: "What do I do now?" The trouble is that most stockbrokers are not in the business of providing ongoing advice because their job is really all about asset gathering.

Think about it. How many times have you been called during a market top and told that it may be a good time to sell? More often than not, selling is frowned upon as there is always a reason to be optimistic. While we are at it, how many times were you called and told that hedging your portfolio with ETFs and options could be beneficial to help offset equity risk?

Unfortunately, during market downturns, many investors find themselves like deer in the headlights, hanging on to hope and the belief that, over time, all will work out. This is because during difficult times many financial advisers have a limited number of tools they can use. 

One of the oldest and most cherished tools that you will often hear about when markets sour is what I like to call: The Financial Planner’s “Placations for a Financial Crisis”. Here is a look at the top phrases which will be used in an attempt to soothe investors:

  1. Buy on the DIP
  2. Diversification is key
  3. Remember, we are in it for the long haul
  4. Do not listen to the noise
  5. There is plenty of liquidity in the markets
  6. Great time to dollar cost average
  7. The situation is well contained
  8. They’re not losses until you sell
  9. It is time in the markets, not market timing...
  10. The 25 Year history of the S&P 500 shows….
  11. Now is the time to buy, not to sell
  12. 80% of the S&P 500 returns are from the top 5 days
  13. This is healthy for the markets
  14. Do not let emotions control your decisions
  15. The S&P 500 has never had a negative 20-year return

Don't be fooled by the smokescreen that is meant to keep you invested so that fees can continually be generated from your portfolio. Be smart, do what you know to be right from all of the information that is available and resist the urge to just sit still and hope for the best. Re-evaluate your allocation, reassess your risk and act appropriately.

 

Andrew Horowitz is a money manager and the founder of Horowitz & Company. He is also the author of the bestselling book, The Disciplined Investor . Check out his latest investment idea or listen in as he hosts, The Disciplined Investor Podcast.

 

Comments

 

Very good article, but these kind of articles come out after a major correction, and are easy to write. Wish the author would have had the courage to write it,  two or three months earlier.

If your financial plan can be hurt by perfectly normal (completely unpredictable )cyclical downturns, you don't have a plan, you have a bet.  What is the alternative to constant commitments to a well diversified portfolio across asset classes and within asset classes...market timing?  Now that sounds like a strategy that I can build a plan around!  How do you model market timing for a long term financial plan?  One that will need to see its income rise by at least two fold but more likely 3 fold just to keep up with inflation over a 30 year retirement.

Regarding the "courage to write a few months ago"...

Please note: www.thedisciplinedinvestor.com/.../index.php

This is an update to what was originally written August 30, 2007

Andrew

wow yuor a fool! Since your so smart what advise would you give these people? all the points you listed are valuable poitns that a respectable advisor would give in a situtaion like this. Try not to be such a smart ass and actaully make a point

Is everybody blind or is it just greed? I believe greed has blinded most of the folks now in trouble. I know very little about the stock market but common sense has allowed me see what I believe are obvious signs, like the 90's debacle brought about by unsupported tech stocks, and the potential for another market crisis arising from uncontrolled oil futures trading and the foreclosure crisis which I believe its effects precipitated.  

This isn’t rocket science. Six months ago I discussed the market and my concerns with my portfolio manager at Merrill Lynch. We shared the same concerns and moved approximately 90% of my investments to fixed income mutuals and the like with guaranteed interest. He beat me to the call yesterday to discuss the best timing for moving back to stocks. Have I missed something and about to crash and burn? Greed can be a killer.

the plural of deer is deer not deers

Good article to print out and keep on your bulletin board as a reminder.  Very few brokers in the business are in it to make you money, they are in the business to make themselves money.

I'm not going to pay much attention to your opinion if you don't have grey hair and remember WWII. How long have you been shaving?

I, like others who responded above are still waiting for specific advice on actions to be taken.  You say to "be smart and do what is right from the information available, and resist the urge to do nothing."  Where is your specific advice?  What is your plan?  What exactly is an individual investor suppose to glean from your message and do to protect his worth; go all to cash, make a large put investment, divest of commodities or buy more, divest of all equity positions now and get back in when it feels better, etc.?

Mr. Horowitz, I am a certified financial planner, and I guess I'm one of the one's guilty of using some of the placating phrases above.  And why am I doing this, because I'm trying to "be smart and do what I know is right from all information available."  And all information and empirical data tells us to adequately plan for short term cash needs, then invest the rest in long term in a diversified portfolio.  That's my plan, now SPECIFICALLY, what's yours?

i'm scared to do anything our goverment messes up enough

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