Why debt collectors are a hot buy now
Posted
May 22 2008, 01:30 PM
by
Jon Markman
Rating:
It’s a sad commentary on our times when the strongest growth in the financial sector is coming from companies that specialize in debt collection. But what do we expect when wages are flat, inflation is rising, mortgages aren’t being paid and people are forced to decide being paying their Best Buy bills or buying gasoline for the commute to work.
We’ve got something like 6,100 debt collection companies in the United States now, and they are rapidly adding more Americans to their speed-dial lists. In the past year, companies in the industry have bought something like $140 billion worth of delinquent debts, which is more than double the amount they bought as recently as eight years ago.
I’m mentioning this because one of the best stocks in the past few weeks has been a company called Asset Acceptance Capital, which is a hilarious name for a debt collector if you think about it. Shares have almost doubled to $13.85 since January, though they’d have to double again from here to get back to their all-time high around $27 in 2005.
AACC is one of those parasitical companies that benefits from the subprime mortgage mess. It buys defaulted and charged-off loans from mortgage banks and credit card companies at a big discount, and then sends its goons to collect the money. As the amount of bad debt rises, and the cost of the money it must raise to buy portfolios of bad loans falls, you can expect them to profit handsomely.
Insiders and institutional investors have been scooping up shares of AACC hand over fist since the credit crisis really got going, with a company called Nierenberg Investment Management buying more than 550,000 shares since mid-April alone.
Earnings estimates for the next quarter and year aren’t too high, and valuation is relatively low, so buying shares yourself could be a way to get back some of those outrageous collection fees that these companies charge.
The industry is heavily regulated as the companies are required to comply with the federal Fair Debt Collection Practices Act, which prohibits deceptive, unfair, and abusive practices; requires debtors to be treated fairly; and forbids threats, abusive language, or harassment, such as repeatedly calling. But I’m sure they have their ways, let’s just say. So if you can't beat 'em, buy 'em.