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Let's fix the adjustable-rate mortgage

Posted Dec 18 2007, 07:55 PM by Charley Blaine
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Here's hoping that, in the aftermath of the subprime-mortgage mess, someone comes up with some standard provisions for adjustable-rate mortgages that apply equally across the country, that everyone understands and that regulators actively and aggressively enforce.

Otherwise, we'll have to go through the subprime mortgage crisis a third time.

A third time? Yes, indeed. It seems to me that the subprime mortgage mess was created by a lot of people with short memories or no memories.

In the early 1980s, as mortgage rates were jumping, the mortgage industry came up with a lot of new mortgages designed to make housing affordable. Many were just as goofy as the weird mortgages we've seen lately as the subprime crisis deepens. In fact, they look like old ideas, dusted off to solve a slightly different problem: how to deal with gigantic price increases.

The results, however, were just as bad. They produced foreclosures, bankruptcies and worse because many borrowers, desperate to buy homes (and not fully unaware of the downside risks) just didn't see what was about to hit them.

And these weren't little-noticed problems. They got plenty of ink in newspapers and lots of time on radio and television.

In fact, I'm astounded that Congress, the regulators, the investment banks and the industry itself were too lazy, in denial or simply too greedy to see what the outcome of making such stupid loans available might be. The record is pretty clear.

My wife and I took an adjustable-rate mortgage out in the mid-1980s. When rates moved higher, we paid more on the mortgage. And yes, it was painful. When rates went down, we got a nice bonus. But there was even a downside to that. One year, the rate cut was so big that our mortgage deduction fell too much, and we had a larger-than-expected income tax bill.

Needless to say, when next we moved, the mortgage on our new house was a fixed-rate loan.

Would I take out an adjustable mortgage again? Not if I can help it. And certainly not without a lot of protections that both the lender and me, the dumb borrower, understand and acknowledge.

So, what would I demand be included in any adjustable loan? For starters, I would have these elements:

-- There's a clearly identified index against which the rate moved up and down. This is not so difficult to do. Our loan was tied to the 1-year Treasury index. It was easy to track. Too many loans use the London Interbank offered rate (LIBOR). I am not wild about it. The rate is too volatile, and it's not easy to track.

-- The rate on the mortgage can't rise more than two percentage points a year off the original rate. I've heard some people are talking maximum reset limits of three or four percentage points. Too much. A loan whose rate rises two percentage points is painful enough for the borrower. On a $250,000 mortgage with a 30-year term, bumping the rate two points increases the monthly payment nearly 20% or $360 a month. A lender might say, "Well, we won't be able to offer low starter rates." So be it. A rate that's too low does no one favors. If the loan can rise more than two percentage points in a year, the lenders are asking for trouble -- and probably deserve it, too.

-- There should be no pre-payment penalties if you sell your house or refinance the loan. That's how it used to be. The Federal Reserve's proposal, approved today, calls for cancellation of the penalties under a number of conditions. The most important is in the 60 days before a loan reset. The Fed should dump that idea now. It's just stupid.

-- There should be limited or no negative amortization -- the adding of payment shortfalls to the mortgage balance. If you're not careful, you end up eating up your equity. It gets everyone into trouble. That's what folks have found out this time around. That's what they found in the 1980s.

-- Phone numbers to all the consumer protection folks within 250 miles of where the house is. And guarantees that someone with authority to solve problems will answer the phone.

Anybody else have some thoughts on this? What have I missed?

Comments

 

This sucked! So u wrote an article about your personal wish list, what's next, a list of your unaccomplished hopes and aspirations, here's one to add to your new years list - DONT WASTE A READER'S TIME WITH A MISLEADING ARTICLE TITLE!

Why not just have people become responsible with their finances. The government should not bail these people out, they took a gamble that rates would stay low and prices would continue to rise, they lost the gamble. Just like in the casino, if you can't afford the gamble, don't play.

Just as the comedian’s pre-contextualised current event jokes are somehow less funny because of the little lesson told beforehand. Your publications crop of ‘how’d it happen???’ pieces on the mortgage mess are cold comfort to all US homeowners. Why the holdup on serious analysis? Flooding the country and the world with liquidity has produced, as expected, the elementary school understanding of economics boom then bust cycle. Now it’s “What can be done? Who can be saved? At what cost?”

We have now entered that all too American armchair amusement: ‘assignation of blame’.

SIVs? What's a pig to do but grunt? Illegal Immigrants? After all didn’t they build the houses and do such nice landscaping? Loan Officers, Real Estate Brokers, Appraisers on the make? ‘Moral Hazard’? How delightfully devoid of reality, clarity and most of all, that pesky issue again; context. I feel in many respects we’ve all lost our way. I never thought I’d see an asset class appreciate by how cheaply money to buy it could be borrowed. I suppose I’ll buy a new abacas. Isn’t bankruptcy and liquidation part of how capitalism works, is suppose to work?

Going broke on sauerkraut.com would be a welcome trade for today’s lost bets. Those dotcom losses were only one hit per not 360. 1929’s ‘buying on margin’ was nothing we are just getting warmed up. Get ready for ‘self-reliance’ to be the preeminent taking point for 2008. Now the victim will have to blame him or herself — some sort of old fashioned cowboy justice. I fear President Reagan would approve. Does anyone recall the Savings and Loan bailout? More approval.  

Our consumer supported economic system is what it is, no more and it does work. The general population thinks they too get to be 'players' so many emulate their betters or at least those who are better at it. The movie Wall Street’s Gordon Gekko (Ivan Boesky) said three words that still ring true “Greed is Good”. Is it? Was it? Well for some people maybe. I’m wondering how many official pardons, foreign service appointments; plea bargain deals and other hypocrisy will be forthcoming. I guessing it will be proportionate to, well, sadly, nothing.

Here on Long Island I see huge empty houses full of ugly faux period furniture. Facing backwards away from their community into the pool, stainless barbeque, waterfall and the ultimate void. Mammoth vehicles with lone drivers coming home ‘overtime late’. 50-inch flat screens to watch reruns of an America that seems to have been preempted.

During the Great Depression FDR did a good job preserving the American economic system. It will be tough to do it again and more difficult. That generation’s economy needed stimulation — helping corporations by ‘priming the pump’. In the future we’ll have to borrow the money to do less. Oddly these facts seem to have been missed by the people running the show. Now we’ll all face very similar challenges caused by all too similar missteps. The issue is; where to turn? Maybe building up American manufacturing, technology, infrastructure and education might be a start. Or maybe we should let it fall – just keep a mirror handy, I guessing you’ll be asked to take a look by the incoming administration, red or blue.

ya know, things were just fine in the days when banking like this was regulated.  and, yes, people made some bad"gambles", but what's worse is the far reaching ramifications of the this crisis.  the big money buying these bundles of mortgages, and then borrowing more money against them with the homes as collateral is even more assenine.

deregulation has provided what was intended, more competition.  however, it appears that the competition is quite similar to a competition between red-necks.

"what does a red-neck say just before he dies?  WATCH THIS!"

"what does his brother say before HE dies?  I CAN DO THAAAT!"

and there you have it, a totally red-necked lending industry.

they are the ones who should have their asses kicked, not the stupid consumer.

Well, I must disagree with Rich.  Rich obviously has a "jaded" view of the type of people who took on the Adjustable Rate Mortgage.   We have an Adjustable Rate Mortgage...(NOT because we wanted it),  we opened a Small Business,  and it was the only Affordable Mortgage that we were ABLE to get!  We did NOT Gamble, we were planning on moving within the 2 year Timeframe, but WHO could have predicted that the Home Values were going to take a Nose-Dive?  We now owe more on the house than we can sell it for.

We are not asking to be bailed out by RICH or anyone else, we are hoping that our lender,  who we have been with for quite a few years (with an EXCELLENT payment History prior to refianancing into our Adjustable Rate ) will consider rewriting the loan.

And one other thing for Rich, when you mention taking a Gamble,  I would be looking at the Corporate Greed that has infected this wornderful Country of ours, after all, when these Mortgages were sold to overseas Investors (at top dollar), THAT was a Gamble since it virtually "seals the deal" that our Lender will NOT be able to work with us, even though they may want to.

I will own MY side of Mortgage mess, but it is time that WE as CITIZENS take a look at how Business is and is not being done in this Country!

Amen :  you cannot and will not ever protect people from being stupid ; either thru legislation or rhetoric . If they choose to make important life decisions  that are risky ; they must face the outcome . ( Self - directed Social Security - Ha ! can you just imagine the bail-out potential on that one ! )  I am tired  as a taxpayer of bailing out stupid people.

Perfect payment history; self-employed and punished for it; banks tightened credit when it was time to refi; foreign investors bought our loans; we were stupid for taking a gamble on an adjustable mortgage; you were stupid for....

Guess What?

That guy that retired - Greenspan - deregulated the derivatives market - just in time to avoid taking blame for the mess he created.

We consumers got bilked by the dealers and theirwilling accomplises in the press!

Thanks Congress for understanding the real truth.

Why do borrowers feel the need to blame someone for their own decision?Back in the day the joke was "hey you want to buy some swampland in Florida".Do people not understand the word adjustable?Anyone with common sense has to know that a 2% loan has only one way to go,up.Greed is the problem here, to many got sucked in seeing others make a quick buck.Bottom line is folks got greedy, threw common sense out the window and got burned.I hear people say, who new the market would go down like it did.How could you not know? Most anything that goes up 30% in a year for several years will come down,fast.People should not buy a home to make a profit.A home is to live in, and if you live in it long enough you will make a profit.Take a life lesson from this debacle,if something is to good to be true, it probably is.If you cany afford it dont buy it,ad infinitum. Just 2 cents from a guy who always wants to know what the real price is!

Wheather you agree with Blaine or not one thing is true, we did have nearly the same problem in the 80's and if you look further back you will find that this problem happen even earlier. It isn't so much that the Mom and Pop investor are trying to cheat as much as just trying to keep their heads above water given the tools the industry offers. The job market changes, people loss good jobs for lessor ones, prices go out of control because industries want more profit at our expense, taxes go up and benefits medical or otherwise have to be paid out of pocket before people are able to absorb the added costs. This is not just a bad mortguage problem. It has been developing for nearly two decade this time. Past events will repeat themselves. When faced with zero options people will quit and the industry that created the problem will lose all the profits they had counted on. Keep fighting among yourselves and see how much worse this will get.

Simple answer to a simple problem. Simple interest.Interst first on all sorts of loans should be out lawed as they only a way of tripleing the amount of money to the lender and further increasing the number of ways to manipulate and gain from other peoples money. It would not be that hard to do giving the lenders a year to modify current loans from the date the law went into effect.  

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