Blue Nile loses its luster
Posted
Oct 30 2007, 12:45 AM
by
Kim Peterson
Rating:
Blue Nile's stock should be on a roll, heading into the holidays with lots of momentum. Instead, the shine is gone. Still, the online jeweler got a nice smooch from Forbes last week. According to the magazine, Blue Nile is selling more engagement rings and wedding bands than Tiffany & Co. -- $197 million in bling last year compared with Tiffany's $186 million. Says Forbes:
"The retail experience just serves to sucker and intimidate the customer, especially men who often feel as out of their depth in a jewelry store as they do inside Victoria's Secret--no wonder three quarters of Blue Nile's Internet ice-buyers are guys."
Oh come on, do men really feel that awkward in a jewelry store? Anyway, that's beside the point. I want to know what's going on with this company's stock. After crossing the $100 mark three weeks ago, the share price has dropped 20% to $80. Are investors feeling jittery before Blue Nile's Nov. 6 earnings release?
Even at its lower price, Blue Nile is trading at a huge premium -- about 92 times earnings, compared with 29 for Tiffany. The Motley Fool points out that company insiders are dumping stock like crazy. CEO Mark Vadon's holdings are down some 64% from a year ago.
It's hard to compare prices for diamonds, but for watches Blue Nile's prices don't seem to be that great. I checked out a couple and found them for cheaper on Amazon. This Seiko Coutura watch sold for $297 on Blue Nile and for $244 on Amazon. This men's Skagen watch sold for $108 on Blue Nile and $71 on Amazon.
Blue Nile's stock is overvalued and there are enough red flags to put this company in the "avoid" column.