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Mortgage debate: 30-year vs. 15-year

Posted Jul 10 2009, 07:45 AM by Karen Datko
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This post comes from partner blog The Dough Roller.

Among the many personal-finance debates, the 30-year versus 15-year mortgage is always high on the list. In one corner you have the interest savers who swear by the 15-year mortgage (think Dave Ramsey), and in the other corner you have the lower-payment folks who swear by the flexibility of a 30-year mortgage.

We're in our second home, and in both we financed with a 30-year mortgage, so we've preferred the lower payments over the potential interest savings. But the truth is that there is no one answer to the 30-year versus 15-year mortgage debate. What works best for one homeowner may not work best for another.

Let's take a look at a mortgage example so we can see some real numbers, and then we'll look at the factors one should consider when choosing a home loan.

30-year vs. 15-year mortgage

We'll use as an example a $100,000 home loan. With a 30-year loan at an interest rate of 5.36%, the monthly principal and interest payment would be $559. Over the course of 30 years, the buyer would end up paying a total of $101,254 in interest. On the other hand, the same house mortgaged with a 15-year loan at an interest rate of 4.89% would feature a higher monthly payment of $789. Over the course of 15 years, the buyer would pay interest totaling just $41,314.

The interest rates used were taken from Bankrate.com. Of course, interest rates change daily, but the same pattern holds. A 15-year mortgage results in substantially less total money paid because of the lower interest rate and shorter amortization. A 30-year mortgage results in significantly lower monthly payments, but high total interest paid.

So which is best, a 15-year mortgage or a 30-year mortgage?

How to choose the right mortgage

Here are the critical factors to consider when choosing a mortgage to suit your income and lifestyle:

Interest rate spread. Generally, the interest on a 15-year mortgage will be less than the interest rate on a 30-year mortgage. The difference, referred to as an interest rate spread, varies. In fact, sometimes the difference in rates is minimal (say less than 0.1%) as was the case recently, and sometimes the spread can be 1% or more. The difference also fluctuates depending on the size of the loan (conforming versus jumbo).

The wider this spread, the more the interest rates favor a 15-year mortgage. When the interest rates are nearly identical, the numbers favor a 30-year mortgage.

Monthly income. Homebuyers should carefully examine their monthly income and expenses to determine how much they can afford to reserve for a mortgage payment. Income should be calculated conservatively. For example, an individual who works in an occupation such as construction or oil drilling may enjoy a great deal of overtime pay, especially during the summer months. However, when it comes to making a commitment to a mortgage payment, overtime pay should not be factored into the budget. That extra income might not always be available.

Instead, the typical 40-hour workweek should be used to determine how much one can afford to pay each month. Any additional overtime hours or extra bonuses should be set aside in savings to cover emergency situations or other financial responsibilities. This approach might mean that the monthly payment associated with a 30-year loan will be more practical in some cases.

As a general rule, it's ideal to keep your total mortgage payment under 30% of your income. Banks will approve loans at a higher percentage, but the payments get really uncomfortable, especially when they exceed about 35% of income. Over time as your income increases (hopefully), the percentage will go down. We've found that once the payment gets below about 20% of income, you start to enjoy a certain level of financial flexibility in your monthly budget.

Monthly expenses. The mortgage certainly isn't the only housing expense that a homebuyer needs to cover. Other home-related expenses may include homeowner association fees, mortgage insurance, homeowners insurance, and property taxes. All of these should be factored into your mortgage payment when assessing your ability to make the monthly payments.

In addition, most folks have other loan payments as well, such as car payments, credit card debt, and school loans. As a general rule, banks want to see total loan payments (mortgage plus all other loans) at 36% or less of monthly gross income. The 36% rule is a reasonable guide. Of course, the lower payments of a 30-year mortgage will make it easier to hit this mark for many.

Spending habits. If you obtained a 30-year mortgage instead of a 15-year note, what would you do with the extra money you'd save each month from the lower mortgage payment? It may be easy to say you'd save it, and maybe you would, but this is an important question to answer honestly. For those who would save and invest this money, the relative difference between a 30-year mortgage and a 15-year mortgage fades away.

In some ways, you can think of a 15-year mortgage as a forced savings vehicle. By requiring the higher payment each month, a 15-year loan is in effect forcing the homeowner to "save" the extra money by paying it against the loan. If you have the discipline to save and invest on your own, however, you may prefer to put that extra money in the stock market, other real estate investments, or even a bank CD.

Flexibility: Because of its lower monthly payments, a 30-year loan gives a homeowner the flexibility to make lower monthly payments or pay extra and retire the loan early. This is the primary reason we've always opted for a 30-year mortgage. But again, the above factors (interest rate spread, monthly income, savings habits) may dictate one option over the other for you. But for us, the flexibility was just too great to pass up.

The bottom line

The bottom line when it comes to home mortgages is that each situation is unique, and a number of factors can influence the decision between 30-year and 15-year mortgages. If you'd like to compare the different options, Bankrate offers a helpful 30-year versus 15-year mortgage calculator.

What's your take? Which is better, a 30-year or 15-year mortgage?

Related reading at The Dough Roller:

Should you stop saving for retirement to pay off debt?

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Comments

 

Before the depression almost no one owned a home.  to buy a home required a 50% downpayment and a pay off within 5 years.  the 30-year mortgage was created to help more people to afford homes.  Which is why after WWII homeownership rose.  People actually paid off their homes, until the tax credit on interest payment was created.  Now people who have lived in their homes for more than 30 years have 2nd mortgages.

I think if you can afford the payments and plan on living in the home for a long time, then do a 15-year, but I think most people do a 30-year because they don't plan on staying in the home for very long.  I did a 30-year when I bought my home 3 years ago, but have decided to refinance to a 15-year in a few years so that it is paid off by the time I retire.

I would add two other critical factors to the article:

1) The interest rate spread is worth considering, but the absolute interest rate is important too. Rates are near historic lows (low 5s). During inflationary times, even relatively conservative investments may be competitive, and the stock market is likely to outpace the mortgage by a good margin.

2) One also needs to consider taxes, since the interest is typically deductible. In places like CA, many homeowners are in the 28% (at least) federal bracket and 9% state tax bracket. That's almost 40%!  In this situation, it's harder to make a compelling case for sacrificing a tax-free savings option (such as a 401K) in order to accelerate a mortgage payoff.

Remember also that you can usually pay a mortgage early without penalty, but the consequences are dire if you pay late. Saving the money elsewhere gives you a lot more runway if you encounter a serious setback. Something to think about.

I started out with a 30 year mortgage and went with a 15 year  when I pulled out some equity and refinanced so that I would still be on target to have my house paid off by retirement ( I want to enjoy freedom of retirement at 62). My mortgage is pretty steep at $2,500/mo but I still max out my 401k (2008 was not good). I do not take into consideration any interest savings. My plan is to have the house and toys (already paid off) paid off and only have to worry about food, electric, and gas and bait money. And not neccessarily in that order.

As a past Real Estate Broker, I recommend a payment of no more than 28% of your income for mtg, principle, interest and HOA, whatever length of time that works out to be.  Those were the stats we used 35 years ago and people weren't losing their homes at record rates because of this.  Then you can pay off extra as you can but you don't have to if you can't afford it that month.  My husband and I paid ours off in 10 years.  Saved a fortune in interest and it's great not having that bill.  I pushed a friend to pay extra...she was thrilled to pay hers off 7 years  early too, enabling her to retire earlier.  The trouble today is people overbuy, can't afford the payments that were too high to start, and get into huge trouble.  

Consider that needs and tastes change as one matures. My wife and I moved to a ranch from a two story home. We finance for thirty years three years ago and refinance recently to a better rate for 27 years. We considered the 15 years or less but decided to spread our risk by putting money into another investment. We realize we may move yet again or take the ultimate journey. We considered  insurance for that possibility and the effects of  inflation and taxes. We did not think there was a good rule of thumb on this topic, every ones life cycle is different. A home can be a great investment, a nice tax shelter, enjoyable and often a painfull experience.

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