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26% of mortgage defaults may be intentional

Posted Jul 08 2009, 02:13 PM by Karen Datko
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A new study indicates that 26% of homeowners who quit paying the mortgage can afford to pay but no longer want to because they owe more than the house is worth.

The economists who did the study call this a "strategic" default. Time magazine reports:

"They can still afford to pay but they decide not to," says Paola Sapienza, a finance professor at Northwestern University and one of the paper's authors. "It's very easy to do this in the U.S."

That figure may be too high, or may reflect reality only in states where home values have taken a nosedive -- think Arizona, California, Florida and Nevada. The researchers told Time that "their statistics are not exact and should be taken primarily as an indication that there is a looming problem ...."

Regardless, it raises the ugly question of when it's OK to walk away from your home. We think most people would agree that defaulting is appropriate only if staying on would be financially disastrous and there's no help in sight. "We cross the ethical line only when we choose not to pay ...," MSN Money columnist Liz Pulliam Weston wrote.

Remember, too, that there are consequences, like ruined credit and a damaged reputation, and hopefully more than a smidgeon of guilt.

However, several studies suggest that the number of people who choose not to pay goes up in areas with a large number of homeowners who are substantially underwater. There is perhaps a domino effect or a herd mentality. If your neighbors stop paying, maybe, you think, it's fine if I do too. Heck, everyone's doing it. Time reports:

The researchers found that even though 81% of people surveyed considered it immoral to intentionally default, those respondents who said they knew somebody who had were nearly twice as likely to say they themselves would. People who live in areas with high foreclosure rates were also more likely to say they'd be willing to walk away.

Related reading:

When to walk away from a mortgage

Homeowners who just walk away

Is your home worth keeping?

How to buy from sinking homeowners

Comments

 

My parents are facing this situation right now. Even though they continue paying, they are calculating how long they can continue, and how long they can pay with no work coming in before the choice is shelter or food. Many people in their area have lost their homes (las vegas) and foreclosures have racked home values so badly that they've already lost theire 40% down payment. It's very scary, especially for two people so close to retirement.

http://www.moderntightwad.com

I'm surprised the number is this low, seeing that most of these scofflaws aren't prosecuted. The "big five" states (in terms of foreclosure) are doing quite a good job of dragging down the rest of the market. I noticed the article only mentioned the southern and western states, neglecting New York.

Just a year ago, I had enough money in my IRA to allow me to stay in my house for about 18 years. After our leaders in Washington found a way to get the value of my IRA to collapse, I estimate that I have enough money to keep me in my house for 8 years. Then, I will simply walk away.

Of course, some do not pay, write a book about it and profit from it. Like that NY Times financial guru named Andrews.

I wouldn't walk away from a mortgage if I could help it.  At 59 there isn't time for a re-do or to remake the funds lost in our 403K plan.  Having bad credit is very undesireable.  I had hoped the equity in my home would fund part of my retirement.  House values in California have gone through the floor.  It will take years for a recovery.  So double whammie with lost IRA and lost home equity.  I can only hope my health holds up so that I can work until I drop so as to keep a roof over my head.  Of course with the government jumping into health care management  by possibly taxing our benefits, that may become the straw that breaks the camel's back.  Whew.  How much more of this can anyone take??  Just trying to keep breathing.

I guess I missed the point of the folks who are upside down walking away "Just because".  Your home is an investment, sometimes the value goes up and sometimes it goes down.  If you're going to walk away from a bill just because it's value changes, you have a problem.  What happened to paying your bills because they're YOUR bills.  It's the same reasoning behind this idea that made the bankruptcy courts change.  It's all about paying the bills you rack up and taking responsibility.   If your home lost value because it was artificially inflated, over time it will build up value again.  It just won't be the instant gratification that started this whole housing bubble in the first place. Where is the sense of reality and responsibility of people?

To those who are thinking about your home as an investment.....this will lead you to making decisions about whether you should default because you're' under water'.

If anyone has bothered to look at the investment return on home ownership they will quickly see that except for occasional blips, homes haven't provided a very good return historicly since the 1600's. The 'great investment' fallacy was probably circulated by real estate agents and developers.

A home is NOT an investment...it's a place to live! The sooner this country understands that the better off we'll all be!

The whole system of goverment started the " WALK AWAY " process decades ago. ALL goverment works for " SPECIAL INTEREST GROUPS = BIG BUSINESS ", goverment stopped working for " WE THE PEOPLE " so why should anyone support the SYSTEM anymore. Our only chance is to start over !!!! TEAR DOWN goverment and the FEDERAL RESERVE. We are ALL FINANCIAL SLAVES TO THE FEDERAL RESERVE - A PRIVATE CORPORATION OF RICH FAMILIES AND BANKS !!!!. AMERICA needs all money matters to be handled by our TREASURY and NOT THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM WHO IS OWNED AND WORKING FOR BIG BUSINESS GROUPS.

Perhaps is time to revisit the tax forgiveness the code enacted which pretty much fuels this phenomenon. It is easier for folks to walk away if there are really little consequences (credit can be restored with time anyhow) than if folks were on the hook for the taxes on loan forgiveness or the gap between the note and sale price. I know there are many legitimate defaults but I just hear of too many folks walking away simply because there is no cash to be made in their homes....

i'm in the prefect situation, but lucky to say the least. my house was paid off, i inherited it from my parents about 2 years ago, and last summer it burned to the ground from lightening, and i got 120% of replacement value from the insurance and a years rent paid at a plush apt.  I then took all 350 k of insurance money and put in the market about 3 months ago and it saw the biggest jump since the late 1930's.  i am now going to move to my dream state of florida to buy a home that used to be 600k in 2006 and now its worth about 300k and is on my favorite golf course.  I'll even pay cash for a boat to take on the gulf.  So for every guy that this market has destroyed, it has helped guys like me, oh and i put 50% of my pay in 401 and IRA's... now get this market and economy on track and i'll retire about 10 years early and play golf and fish.

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