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When the market goes haywire, what's a saver to do?

Posted Sep 19 2008, 02:02 PM by Karen Datko
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With the stock market's crazy ups and downs, we decided to see what some clever personal-finance bloggers are doing with their retirement and nonretirement accounts.

Does the phrase "stay the course" ring a bell? For instance, after some heavy-duty thinking, Nickel at Five Cent Nickel and Mr. ToughMoneyLove are changing nothing about their investment strategies.

Nickel acknowledges that his investments have "taken a beating" and that his asset allocation has shifted. But he's continuing his automated monthly deposits to his retirement and nonretirement accounts. He says, "The money that we have in the stock market is intended to be there for the long term so, thus far, we've only experienced paper losses."

Based on his review of his investments, historical research and reading about what many financial advisers recommend, Mr. ToughMoneyLove says that "maybe doing nothing is actually doing something -- a legitimate strategy. Perhaps I should just close the books on my decision and worry about college football for the rest of the week." (You can also read his entertaining critique of the federal government's latest intervention plans.)

Our partner blogger J.D. Roth at Get Rich Slowly is sticking with his fundamentals, which include "Don't panic" and "Tune out the media." He also recommends that you read advice from Ramit Sethi at I Will Teach You To Be Rich, who wisely observes: "Nobody has The Answer about how bad this will get and how long it will go." 

Nickel's readers offered plenty of comments, and many agreed with his approach. Some said they wish they had more money to invest right now. "If I had some extra cash reserves laying around, or even if I had an emergency fund, I would throw some extra money into the stock market," "Start-Up" said before breaking into song with "Tiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiime is on my side. Yes it is."

Chad from Sentient Money has a different approach. About 60% of his investments have been in cash since last fall. "Welcome to the worst recession since the '70s," he says. "More banks will fail, so don't be surprised." (Want to know if your bank accounts are safe? Nickel has a post that explains how to do that.)

If you likewise can't stomach risk, our partner blogger Trent Hamm at The Simple Dollar offers a tutorial about Treasury securities. He can tolerate risk, and maxed out his Roth IRA contribution on Monday.

Another Nickel reader, "Kev," is focused on strengthening his own financial house: "Pay off debt. Rebuild EF. Pray every night that I remain employed."

 

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Comments

 

Not me. I'm moving to Gold, Silver and the energy sector.  In the next few months, we could see the biggest crash since the Great Depression.  The Fed and administration are papering over the current crisis, but they will not be able to hold it back for long.  The system is broken, the money is gone and America is broke.  It could take years to rebuild the financial firms that have lost billions. The only option left is to print money - which will only lead to more inflation and higher interest rates. I'm afraid the typical advice to 'stay the course' is no longer relevant.  

--Curt

http://www.PennyJobs.com

So crawling into bed in the fetal position probably isn't a good financial stratagy, huh?

I am pulling my money out and investing in gold.

Curt - If gold is the answer, will you trade it for dollars to buy groceries?  Or do you think that stores won't take dollars in the your next Great Depression.  If so, you better buy guns and butter before the gold.

If safety and inflation protection are your core values at this time, what about I-Bonds?  Their fixed component yield now is 0% but come Nov. 1, things could change.

Look, if the only stability were in gold, then that's where the national banks of other countries would focus their funds.  In actual hard, cold fact, the national banks who rely on low-risk investments have been bailing from money markets and moving to US Treasury funds.  After the recent US temporary guarantee for money markets, I believe we're seeing more movement back to money markets.  The moral of this story is that the US is still believed to be a very wealthy nation that is able to back its federal debts.

Given our economic output, it's a good bet that we will continue to produce food, consumer goods, and inventions.  Yeah, it's crazy that the financial sector was so red-hot that it was trading as if it produced a third of the US economy.  It didn't, and it's going to sink back to reasonable (non-bubble) levels.

The basic law of finance is to buy low and sell high.  If you liquidate your portfolio and buy precious metals and energy stocks, both of which are currently peaking, you will have bought high on the assumption that everything's going to hell and prices will keep climbing.  But under those circumstances (a total meltdown of the economy), what's the rationale for energy stocks?  We're going to keep shipping goods we can no longer afford to make?  Hardly.  In any case, the worst-case scenario is HIGHLY unlikely, and as ToughMoneyLove says, it calls for seeds and shotguns, not precious metals.

Instead, why not look for a company that produces something you're pretty sure people will continue to want even in a recession or depression?  Look for stocks that are currently trading low due to market instability but that are associated with companies with strong balance sheets and desirable goods or services.  Buy the stock low, wait for it to rise based on increased demand or simply on the recalibration of the market, and then laugh at the suckers who bought gold at $70 up and had to sell, later, when it was back down by $70.

My advice: Stay calm.

Pay what debt you have off, and leave the credit cards alone, save what you can without leaving yourself out in the cold.

what do you think about foreign currency trading were you can trade in any direction the dollar move, whether up or down. You can also currency cross trading.Using platform like FXCM OR I-TRADE FX

you can adjust your lifestyle and save more-such as buying clothes second hand and not driving any more than is needed. avoid credit card debt and cut out impulse buying altogether. get everyone in the household on board for saving electricity etc. do these things because most likely inflation can't be avoided forever and practicing discipline now will make it less painful.

We budget and look to save whereever we can even if we don't need to to survive.  I have made my own laundry soap for years and it is much better than the store bought stuff!  For the recipe go to www.savemoneytoday.net

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