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How long will the 'new frugality' last?

Posted Aug 01 2008, 04:11 AM by Donna Freedman
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Gas is expensive and food is going higher and higher. I'm not talking about today -- I'm flashing back to my teenage years. Times were tight between 1974 and 1976, when I ran the household for my father and younger brother. I remember how quickly the grocery money evaporated even though I made all our meals, desserts and snacks from scratch. Gasoline was not only costly but rationed during what was widely referred to as the "energy crisis."

People combined errands and stayed home a lot more. They cut back on nonessential foodstuffs, did without entertainment and new clothes, and generally tried to make their dollars go further. But this austerity didn't last. The age of conspicuous consumption cranked up in the 1980s, and cars seemed to get bigger each year. More than a few times I've said to myself, or to others, "Have we learned nothing from the '70s?"

Nope, we hadn't. The crisis was over. We had plenty of gas once more.

But now fuel is pricey again and food costs are getting scary. Suddenly people are combining errands, cutting back on nonessential foodstuffs, doing without entertainment and generally trying to make their dollars go further.

As Mark Twain put it, history doesn't repeat itself but it does rhyme.

Second verse, same as the first
The Associated Press recently ran an article titled, "Consumers make changes -- but will they last?" It reported what most of us already know: People are having to spend more these days on the absolute essentials. It's not surprising that sales of store-brand products have gone up 9.1% in the past year.

Some folks are really hurting. They can't feed and clothe their kids properly. They're going without even the most basic health care. They're losing vehicles, or homes, because they can't pay the freight. They're existing on the margins.

Others are keeping the books balanced, but only just. If gas or food keep going up they'll have to find the money; how, they're not sure. They worry about the future.

And some are merely inconvenienced. They're cutting back -- vacations nixed in favor of "staycations," fewer shopping trips, less organic food -- but they're nowhere close to starving. They're just grumpy.

For all three groups, having to spend more for groceries and gasoline has meant less money for clothes, home improvement and entertainment. Businesses are feeling the pinch and, the article notes, "are trying to figure out which habits shoppers will keep and which they will drop when the economy recovers." Will consumers keep going to thrift stores and eating at places that offer buy-one-get-one coupons?  

My sources say "no." I'm betting that a whole bunch of people will go right back to their spendy ways, just as they did after the 1970s energy crisis. We didn't learn a thing back then, and I'm betting we won't learn this time, either.

Or consider a more recent example: According to the AP article, the recession of the early 1990s made affluent shoppers check out cheaper alternatives. I remember reading about the smart set slumming at discount and dollar stores. Those were also the days when Amy Dacyczyn couldn't crank out her "Tightwad Gazette" newsletter fast enough.

But this new frugality didn't last. When times got better, dollars bled from wallets once more. We learned nothing that time, either.

A little bit louder and a little bit worse
Maybe it will be different this time. Maybe people who have learned the joys of being debt-free will decide to stay that way. On a Smart Spending message board thread, a reader posting as "ss18612" notes that thanks to frugality she no longer dreads the arrival of the daily mail: "Bills are paid the day they arrive and an unexpected expense is not a major problem. It takes planning, perseverance and sacrifice, but it's oh so worth it!"

I don't think this is a majority attitude. Americans have short memories and long shopping lists. As soon as things improve even a little, I bet the malls will be crowded once more.

And if things don't improve fast enough? There's always credit, which even people with questionable financial histories can get (albeit at usurious rates). Why should we have to cut back on Christmas shopping, or live without game systems and big-screen televisions just because times are tough?

If I sound pessimistic, it's because I am. I'm tired of the sound of history continuing to rhyme.

Comments

 

If the economy improves, it won't last.  Those of us in our late 20s and early 30s were constantly told as we were growing up that an employment nirvana awaited us upon adulthood-- we could do anything we wanted, and there would be jobs everywhere as the baby boomers left the workforce.  Instead we find ourselves under crushing student loan debt and fewer and fewer high-quality jobs, while trying to keep up with the generation right below us that is even tech-savvy-er than we are. We are being frugal because we must.   In other words, many people my age are feeling cheated.  And feeling cheated is the first step in over-indulging yourself.  I grew up poor, so I as a highly-educated person, can afford more than what I had as a child.  But I still have less than what most of my middle-class friends' families had when I was growing up, and  am make $12/hr with my J.D.  One ray of hope?  Every person I know of my age wants to get out of debt, forever.  That's at least one thing these huge student loans did that was positive.  

The BIG THREE????? Blaming the fact that consumers bought SUV's on the auto companies? The Auto companies built them because the consumer WANTED THEM. They are scaling back now because the consumer doesn't want them. They have been building the Suburban since the 70's. The consumers started buying them so the manufacturers built more. I had a 1984 Suburban when the average household would never have thought about buying one. Then, the consumer started wanting bigger and bigger vehicles. They started buying SUV's instead of cars, vans, and station wagons. The consumer demanded these bigger vehicles. Don't blame companies for these problems, it's always supply and demand. If the consumer had never started snatching uo SUV's, they would never have built them. Consumers, of which I am one, quit blaming everyone else and look in the mirror.

I have always been combining my trips to save time, and now, money on gasoline. I did eat out maybe 1 a week for lunch and 1 a week for dinner, but now, down to maybe every other week for dinner, and 1 a month for lunch. But, I have lost over 50 pounds 2 years ago, and changed my eating habits then. I too was shopping at the malls every weekend. Now, I cut down to every other month. Shopping was my biggest habit to break. My kids would tell me they didn't need any more clothes, but I chose to buy them more, not them asking me. The only things they would ask for was new gym shoes twice a year. BTW, when I do shop at the malls now, the store that is always the crowdest is the Apple store. I don't shop there, but many people still are.  

keeping your spending below your earnings should not have anything to do with recessions, it should be a way of life. Sure we all probably save less during peak economic years and are more likley to buy expensive handbags, but you should still never go into negative territory with your monthly budget. That is dangerous regardless of how the economy is performing.

I just became the latest victim of the recession, losing my job.  Am I worried?  Not at all!  My wife and I were making a mint with two incomes, no kids, and the very spending habits that the author laments America's loss of, so we figure that our $8,000 emergency fund could last us up to forty months.  If the economy's not better by Christmas of 2011 we've got bigger problems than just having to go to Safeway instead of Whole Foods.

What the declining middle-class birthrate because nobody wants to incur the expense and bother of raising kids says about America and its future is another matter, however.

My husband and I are college graduates, both of us work full-time, and since we had a few unexpected but necessary expenses, we can't pay the bills. We rarely go out, don't take trips, and drive a 1991 car. Our children are grown and out of the house. The prices are going up faster than our incomes. In the meantime, the government bails out the huge multibillion-dollar companies that are stealing us blind!

You can't fix stupid. The animal house syndrome - fat, drunk stupid and lazy.

Complacency sets in, then entitlement, followed by demise and finally bondage.

The U. S. is now somewhere between entitlement and demise. The worst part is we still believe we are the greatest country on the face of the earth. 99% of those under 40 don't realize they are staring into the abyss, not a Starbucks latte. Once we find a cure for ignorance, if we do, it will be too late. We will be bonded to the muslims.

I missed the 70's. Probably becuase I wasn't born until 1980.

I like Celia's insightful comment, comparing spending to crash dieting. Sensible spending should be or become a lifestyle for all of us.

Growing up on a farm taught me to be self sufficient and not trust bankers and people with more money than sense.  I don't save as much as I should, but I also have just about everything I ever wanted and then some.  I work at a good job, but I try to think about what would happen if I lost the job.  That keeps me working smarter.  Call it cheap, call it frugal, call it poverty driven if you want, but the truth is I learn to live within my means most of the time and try to keep my credit card balance paid down.  I drive to town once every two weeks for supplies unless I have to do something else.  I make much of my own stuff unless it costs more to make it than I can buy it for.  When I have kids I hope to teach them the same things and instill in them the fact that nobody guarantees you anything in this world.

While I was young, I learned pride of accomplishment and standing on your own.  We could have easily qualified for food stamps and assisted living, but we had pride.  We didn't take handouts, we worked 80-100 hours a week every week and went on vacation once a year to see family.  I missed out on a lot of things, but the experience has taught me perseverance, pride in a job well done, and self sufficiency.  You could turn out my lights and take away my money tomorrow and I would survive.  How many others would be willing to endure that sacrifice?

If the founding fathers and pioneers that made our country great were to see us now, would they be proud, or would they be shameful?

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